ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF EXPORT VOLUMES OF OILSEEDS AND GRAIN CROPS OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The article presents econometric models of time series presented on the basis of quarterly data on the export volumes of oilseeds and cereals of the Russian Federation in the period from 01.01.2017 to 31.09. 2021. According to the obtained multiplicative model, the forecast of export volumes for 12 commodity groups for the 4th quarter of 2021 is presented

Keywords:
oilseeds, cereals, exports, multiplicative model of a time series, trend, export volumes of the Russian Federation, forecasting
Text
Publication text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. Kashirina N.A., Raevskaya A.V. Russian grain export in modern conditions // Bulletin of the Bryansk State Agricultural Academy.2017. No. 1.pp. 14-19.

2. Frolova E.Yu., Rau V.V. The impact of grain and oilseeds exports on the domestic market of exporting countries // Russian Foreign Economic Bulletin. 2019. No. 10. pp. 121 - 134.

3. Official website of the Federal Customs Service [Electronic resource]. URL: https://customs.gov.ru.

4. The official website of foreign trade of Russia [Electronic resource]. URL: https://russian-trade.com.

5. Eliseeva I.I. Econometrics: textbook. Moscow: Finance and Statistics, 2017. 343 p.

6. Tsvil M. M. Time series analysis and forecasting: studies. stipend. Rostov n/A: Russian Customs Academy, Rostov branch, 2016. 135 p.

7. Tsvil M. M. Econometrics: lecture notes on the academic discipline. Rostov n/A: Russian Customs Academy, Rostov branch, 2012. 86 p.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?