ECONOMETRIC FORECASTING OF EXPORT VOLUMES OF THE KYRGYZ REPUBLIC
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
Thisarticle analyzes Kyrgyzstan's export volumes for 2016-2020 by quarter based on an econometric time series model. The forecast for the 4th quarter of 2020 is also presented in the form of both statistical data and graphical interpretation.

Keywords:
export volume, multiplicative time series model, Kyrgyzstan, forecast, trend level
Text
Text (PDF): Read Download
References

1. Official website of the Eurasian Economic Commission. URL: http://www.eurasiancommission.org.

2. Official website of the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic. URL: https://www.nbkr.kg/

3. Akberdina V. V. et al. Econometric modeling and forecasting of economic security of an intersectoral complex / / National interests: priorities and security. 2018. № 14. P. 1020−1033.

4. Tsvil M. M. time series Analysis and forecasting: textbook. stipend. Rostov n/A: RTA, Rostov branch, 2016. 135 p.

5. Methods of forecasting socio-economic processes: textbook. the allowance for high schools / under the editorship of I. V. Antonova. M.: Yurayt Publishing House, 2018. 213 p.

6. 5. Afanasiev V. N. time series Analysis and forecasting: textbook. M.: Finance and statistics, Infra-M, 2015. 320 p.

7. Galochkin V. T. Econometric forecasting of GDP of the leading developed countries for 2017 and 2018 / / Chronoeconomics. 2018. № 5 (13). P. 7−13.

Login or Create
* Forgot password?